Deadly Optimism, Useful Pessimism

What’s really needed is a realistic sense of what’s possible, and a dogged determination to heal division, protect nature and culture, and build sustainable alternatives to our current fossil fuel-based, centralized industrial support systems.

  1. 寻求更带现实意义的解决方案
  2. 坚定不移的决心去治愈种族格列问题、保护自然与文化、寻找石油的替代品,以及转移现在的以工业为中心的商业系统。
  3. 保护性的消极心态 (Defensive Pessimism)

Most people’s brains have soaked for decades in a marinade1 of rosy expectation.

Pervasive Optimism

Since the 1950s, forecasts for the human future could be summarized by the adjectives more, bigger, and faster.

This pervasive optimism was based on the actual experience of much of humanity, which saw wonders unfold throughout the 20th century (though a large number of people were not invited to the feast; indeed, their lives, labor, and resources were part of the menu).

Optimism was a self-reinforcing feedback: the system delivered more, people came to expect more, so the system was primed to deliver still more.

20 世纪的人们是被动乐观,21 世纪的我们马上要变得被动消极了。

20 世纪,各项新技术、新事物蓬勃而出,一片欣欣向荣之景; 21 世纪,开始偿还年少无知时所欠下的技术债务了,矿产的过度开采、自然环境的肆意破坏、全球变暖,肉眼可见的「悲剧」将越来越多。

人们的生活质量越来越好,生活节奏越来越快;难道幸福度能够一直指数级增长吗?还是说未知的悲剧「巨大落差」已经在路上了。

Indeed, more and more people are resorting to rage, fatalism, nihilism, and escapism precisely because what they are actually experiencing is so incongruent2 with the dominant cultural narrative of progress and abundance.

反全球化,发展本地集体,才可能有机会应对即将到来的终结之时。

工业革命以来

大势扩张,终将付出代价。

  1. 环境污染
  2. 全球变暖
  3. 资源匮乏
  4. 物种灭亡

地球终究只有一个,影响到的将是在场的每一个人。而太多的人对「征兆」视而不见。

Defensive Pessimism

  • Not just have a gloomy outlook
  • Have learned to harness negative thinking to improve their coping and adaptive skills through goal orientation
  • Think and plan with more care

==The motivating ideal of the defensive pessimist might be stated as “respecting limits and living well within them”.==

References


  1. 卤汁 ↩︎

  2. 不和谐的,割裂的 ↩︎

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